Raleigh, N.C. – For the first time in any of PPP’s Virginia polling this year the race is something other than a two point lead for Barack Obama. He now leads 51-43 in the state.
As it is everywhere, Obama’s movement in the state is being fueled by the economy. 63% of Virginia voters name it as their top issue, and within that group the Democrat has a 59-36 advantage.
Demographically the major shift for Obama over the last three weeks has been among white voters. He’s reduced what was a 60-35 deficit there to just a 52-42 one.
Since the last survey Joe Biden’s stock in the state has risen while Sarah Palin’s has fallen. Biden’s gone from a +11 net favorability to +17 in the week following the Vice Presidential debate, while Palin has dropped from a +2 to a -9.
“Virginia is showing the same trends as pretty much every other battleground state,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Voters are turning toward the Democrats as concern over the economy mounts, and they’re also a lot less enamored with Sarah Palin than they were shortly after the Republican convention.”
The race for the state’s open Senate seat continues to be a romp for Mark Warner. He leads fellow former Governor Jim Gilmore 58-31 while winning independents at a remarkable 66-20 clip. He’s also capturing 26% of the Republican vote, making it nearly impossible for Gilmore to even bring the race within 20 points.