Multi-Poll Time Series - Deeds has the trajectory to win

Similar to the time series data plots used by Nate Silver at 538.com in 2008, this multi-poll plot from Pollster.com tells the the same story we saw in the closing days of the Presidential election last November. Obama had a sustained upward trend in poll results, that carried through to 11/4. The momentum bodes well for Deeds, he will likely get the lion's share of the undecided at this point.

It is unlikely that the undecided will split with equal probability for each candidate. Better polling pundits than I, and poli-sci research says, the general tendency of late deciders is to go with the flow (apparent leader) and cling to safety (of the least risky choice)-- both of these behaviors favor Deeds.

Like Obama -- he has the trajectory to win.