Polling Trend Reverses - Obama Lead Recovers

The Post-RNC/Palin bounce appears to have deflated, and economic bad news seem to be driving polling numbers back to pre-convo levels, centered around a +2% lead for Obama over McCain.

FiveThirtyEight.com using discrete event simulation methodology, based on thousands of computer simulation runs (iterations), is indicating a much stronger probability of an Obama win in Electoral College votes. 71.5% chance for Obama vs. 28.6% chance for McCain.

But the fact is that Obama is in a stronger position now than he was immediately before the conventions. We now have him winning the election 71.5 percent of the time, which is about as high as that number has been all year.

Source: FiveThirtyEight.com

FOREIGN POLICY TOWN HALL - H'burg 9/21

FOREIGN POLICY TOWN HALL MEETING
Hosted by Richard Clarke
Sunday, September 21 at 6pm
Court Square Theater, in Harrisonburg

Former National Security Adviser, Richard Clarke will discuss U.S. Sen. Barack Obama's plans to restore American leadership in the world by rebuilding international cooperation. He is also expected to outline Obama’s proposals for decreasing the risk of terrorism by rooting out al Qaeda, attacking global poverty and increasing the number of military personnel.

Clarke, who served as chief counter-terrorism adviser in the Clinton and Bush administrations, worked for more than 30 years for the U.S. Department of State and U.S. National Security Council. He is also author of the best-selling book "Against All Enemies."

He will be joined by Denis McDonough, who served as Senate Democratic Leader Tom Daschle's foreign policy adviser and is currently a Senior Fellow at the Center for American Progress and adviser to the Obama campaign.

This event is free and open to the public.

For more information, please email camron@vaobamaforchange.com or calling 804-306-5381

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Camron Gorguinpour
Field Organizer
Campaign for Change
124 S. Main Street
Harrisonburg, VA 22801
Phone: 804-306-5381
Email: Camron@vaobamaforchange.com