Monday, June 23, 2008

Obama Tide Rising - 538 Rules!


Source: fivethirtyeight.com

Reliability-weighted, multi-poll, regression plot. Good for filtering out "noise", focusing on the central tendency of under-lying signal.

Outstanding! A NOT MSM polling data center.

BRD will be a frequent visitor here. Minimum opinion, maximum data!

14% popular vote margin may be possible.

Who knew... BRD regression model?

Early Indicators - Tipping Point? Newsweek poll , Obama 15% lead - June 20th 2008