Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Goodlatte Strong, but vulnerability is showing


click chart to enlarge

Latest polling results are in on the Goodlatte - Rasoul - Allen 6th district Congressional race.

While some paint a bleak picture for Rasoul. This polling data, when viewed in relation to long-term district voting results (above chart), is showing that Rasoul and Allen are driving Goodlatte's polling percentage below the historical floor of actual voting percentages set way back in 1992 and 1996.

Interestingly, 19% of Democrats, 17% of Liberal voters in the small survey said they favor Goodlatte. Sort of a cut-off-your-nose-to-spite-your-face contingent, sounding a bit like P.U.M.A. Still seeking the "right" candidate. It will be great drama, to see if these voters have a change of heart, and return to the Blue team on November 4th?

Another related tidbit in the data set, is that 53% of the voters favoring Goodlatte, "could change their mind" by election day. Seems like some folks are a bit unsettled on their view of Rep. Goodlatte.

Still not measured is the Warner and Obama coat-tail effect for Rasoul in the 6th district.

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